Friday, August 8, 2008

Poll puts NDC ahead

A survey conducted by the National Commission for Civic Education (NCCE) forecasts a slim first-round victory for the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) in the December election.

The poll which sampled some 5327 respondents puts the NDC leading with 42.9 percent whilst the NPP trails next with 42.6 percent, a difference of 0.3 percent.

The Convention People's Party (CPP) and the People's National Convention (PNC) respectively mustered 6.3 and 1.1 percent.

The poll which was conducted in April 2008, also predicts a high voter turnout. Some 96.9 percent of voters would cast their ballot in December.

Speaking to Joy News, the principal research officer at the NCCE, Elizabeth Jeffery Amoako, said the poll was intended to "solicit the opinions of voters as regards who they would vote for."

To ensure a high reliability and accuracy, respondents were sampled across the country from three imaginary divisions: northern, middle and coastal sectors.

The results also sought to find out the issues that would shape voting trends on "Super Sunday". Voters prioritised education, health and agriculture (in that order) in a list of 10 items.

Mixed reactions

Myjoyonline Ghana News Photos | The big figures of Ghanaian politics
The big figures of Ghanaian politics
At least all the political parties on whom the survey was conducted, except the NDC, have expressed doubts about the reliability of the poll.

The NPP's campaign communications director, Dr Arthur Kennedy challenged the results citing an earlier survey conducted by his party.

"Whilst we are not sure to what extent it is accurate, we have done our own survey that shows that up to 27 percent of the electorate are undecided."

He said less than 4 percent remaining undecided in the NCCE gauge made the results "surprising" to the NPP.

Dr Kennedy stated that the NPP could do better as it recovers from the shocks that have rocked the party's primaries.

However, reacting to the issues, the national organiser of the NDC, Samuel Ofosu Ampofo, said the poll presented his party with a challenge to work harder to consolidate its position on the minds of voters.

Mr Ofosu Ampofo played down predictions that the December polls would enter a second round, stating, the NDC is already stoking its campaign with strategies to ensure a one-time win.

"The NDC are clinching very firmly to our one-touch," he stated.

Kosi Dede, the CPP publicity committee chairman, said his party's 6.3 percentage points was a good reason for the CPP to work harder ahead of the elections.

He was however quick to blame the CPP's abysmal performance on resource constraints.

The PNC however said its 1.1 margin was not reflective of the reality on the ground.


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